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user-generated· Technology

Will a major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini Ultra, etc.) be released with a…

Market overview

Satya Nadella's call for human-controlled 'emergency brakes' on AI suggests a growing industry awareness of potential risks. This question gauges whether leading AI developers will implement such a feature in their flagship models. The probability is moderate as it requires significant industry consensus and technical implementation.

Technology prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
45%
Closes
2028-10-11

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if a major AI model (e.g., from OpenAI, Google, Meta, Microsoft) released to the public or widely available to developers explicitly includes a 'human-controlled emergency shutdown' or 'off-switch' feature described in its official documentation by the end date. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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