Microsoft's in-house MAI models usage declines below 20% in Copilot 365 by 2027
Resolves: Microsoft reports or third-party data shows MAI models account for less than 20% of total AI model usage in Copilot 365 by June 30, 2027.
user-generated· adoption
Microsoft's in-house MAI models usage declines below 20% in Copilot 3…
Market overview
Despite reports of Microsoft developing in-house models (MAI) to reduce costs, GPT 5.6's preferred status suggests OpenAI's models will dominate. MAI usage is likely to shrink as Copilot 365 scales with GPT 5.6, reducing internal model reliance.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Microsoft reports or third-party data shows MAI models account for less than 20% of total AI model usage in Copilot 365 by June 30, 2027.
Source: user-generated
More adoption markets
- Daily active crypto users surpass 100 million by mid-2026 — 60% Yes
- Kalshi’s market share in crypto derivatives surpasses 5% by Q4 2027 — 55% Yes
- Kalshi's crypto perpetual futures launch by 2026-Q4 — 75% Yes
- Family offices double down on crypto-adjacent mining firms within 6 months — 72% Yes
- Nigeria's crypto transaction volume exceeds $5B in 2026 — 80% Yes
- AI and crypto groups increase political ad spending in 2026 midterms — 80% Yes
- Crypto and AI groups double political ad spending by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Harborne will increase donations to Farage by 20% by Mar 2027 — 60% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…