Will the United States and Iran sign a formal peace treaty by Decembe…

The headline suggests an agreement to halt war. This question focuses on whether this agreement will formalize into a peace treaty, which typically involves more comprehensive terms and mutual recognition beyond a mere cessation of hostilities. Given the historical animosity and complex geopolitical landscape, a full peace treaty by year-end is unlikely.

World · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

15%

Closes

2026-12-31

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