Bluesky under Schneider hits 50M monthly active users by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Bluesky reports 50 million or more monthly active users (MAUs) in a public release or third-party analytics by the resolution date.
user-generated· adoption
Bluesky under Schneider hits 50M monthly active users by 2026-12-31
Market overview
Toni Schneider’s permanent appointment and focus on smaller, private communities will drive user growth. Bluesky’s open-protocol AT Protocol and post-Twitter migration trend support a 16% increase from 43M to 50M MAUs within five months.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Bluesky reports 50 million or more monthly active users (MAUs) in a public release or third-party analytics by the resolution date.
Source: user-generated
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