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Apple EU 5% commission triggers developer exodus

Resolves: Three or more distinct major developers (e.g., Spotify, Epic, Microsoft) publicly announce EU alternative app stores by 2027-02-18.

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user-generated· event

Apple EU 5% commission triggers developer exodus

Market overview

At least 3 major developers launch alternative app stores in EU within 6 months.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2027-02-18

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Three or more distinct major developers (e.g., Spotify, Epic, Microsoft) publicly announce EU alternative app stores by 2027-02-18.

Source: user-generated

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