AIPAC's spending backfires in Missouri primary

AIPAC's $865K ad spend supporting Bell will reduce Bush's support by at least 15% compared to pre-primary polls, but will galvanize progressive voters to the point that Bush's vote share exceeds pre-AIPAC intervention levels. The backlash will mobilize new voters against Bell.

politics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-08-05

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