Debt servicing consumes over 20% of revenue in 20 of the most indebted developing countries by Q3 2028
Resolves: IMF or World Bank reports show that at least 20 of the most indebted developing countries allocate over 20% of total government revenue to external debt servicing in the third quarter of 2028.
user-generated· macro
Debt servicing consumes over 20% of revenue in 20 of the most indebte…
Market overview
Current average debt servicing is nearly 19% of revenue in 56 countries. Rising interest rates and currency depreciation will push 20 countries above 20% by Q3 2028, triggering debt restructuring negotiations.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2028-09-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
IMF or World Bank reports show that at least 20 of the most indebted developing countries allocate over 20% of total government revenue to external debt servicing in the third quarter of 2028.
Source: user-generated
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