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Will the US and China hold a bilateral summit between their heads of state by December 31, 2026?

Resolves: YES if the US President and Chinese President officially meet for a bilateral summit before or on December 31, 2026. NO otherwise.

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user-generated· Politics

Will the US and China hold a bilateral summit between their heads of…

Market overview

Given the 'simmering tensions' at the G20, a direct high-level meeting could be sought to de-escalate or manage disagreements. However, significant policy differences often make such summits challenging to arrange and execute successfully within a short timeframe.

Politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
40%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the US President and Chinese President officially meet for a bilateral summit before or on December 31, 2026. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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